Football · Latvia Cup · 11/07, 17:00

Prediction: FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
FK Auda1.84
FK Liepaja1.43
1X2
45% 26% 28%
FK Auda Draw FK Liepaja
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Auda 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWDLWDLD
FK Liepaja 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDWWLLLWLW
Head-to-head
FK Auda 3–1–2 FK Liepaja (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Auda 1506 · FK Liepaja 1498
FK AudaDrawFK Liepaja
Our model46%25%29%
Market45%28%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FK Auda: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK AudaFK Liepaja
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 11.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.22.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Auda 312 FK Liepaja

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Latvia Virsliga
FK Auda3-1
HT 2-0
FK Liepaja
08/04/26
Latvia Virsliga
FK Liepaja1-2
HT 0-1
FK Auda
20/10/25
Latvia Virsliga
FK Auda1-2
HT 1-1
FK Liepaja
27/07/25
Latvia Virsliga
FK Liepaja2-0
HT 1-0
FK Auda
24/05/25
Latvia Virsliga
FK Liepaja0-0
HT 0-0
FK Auda
09/04/25
Latvia Virsliga
FK Auda3-0
HT 1-0
FK Liepaja

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK AudaFK Liepaja
RFS 1-1 D 0-2 L
Riga FC 0-2 L 0-4 L
SC Grobinas 0-0 D 0-1 L
SK Super Nova 2-0 W 2-1 W
Tukums 2000 1-2 L 3-0 W
FK Jelgava 1-1 D 1-1 D
Ogre United 2-0 W 4-0 W
BFC Daugavpils 1-0 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Auda (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Auda

LWWWDLWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 1-1 44 D
29/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 0-2 64 L
25/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-0 154 D
21/06 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 2-0 83 W
17/06 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
1-1 1-2 66 L
13/06 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 1-1 56 D
30/05 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 2-0 611 W
26/05 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 1-0 13 W
22/05 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-1 74 W
17/05 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 0-3 46 L

FK Liepaja

LDWWLLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 FK Decic Tuzi
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 23 W
04/07 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 1-3 71 L
30/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
3-0 4-0 83 W
26/06 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-2 17 L
21/06 Riga FC
Latvia Virsliga
0-3 0-4 40 L
16/06 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 0-1 125 L
12/06 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
2-1 2-1 27 W
30/05 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 3-0 85 W
26/05 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
0-1 1-1 115 D
22/05 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
0-2 1-3 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Auda vs FK Liepaja?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Auda win (45%). Probabilities: FK Auda 45%, draw 26%, FK Liepaja 28%.

How many goals are expected in FK Auda vs FK Liepaja?

The model expects 3.27 goals (FK Auda 1.84 · FK Liepaja 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Auda vs FK Liepaja?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.