Football · Scotland League Cup · 11/07, 16:00

Prediction: Stirling vs Dundee Utd

Expected goals: 3.53 (Stirling 0.8 · Dundee Utd 2.72). The model gives 8% home, 15% draw, 77% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Stirling sits at 1-4-5 (W-D-L), while Dundee Utd arrives on a 3-3-4 run.

77%2
8% 15% 77%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stirling 1451 · Dundee Utd 1487
StirlingDrawDundee Utd
Our model8%15%77%
Market8%14%77%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.53Stirling 0.8 · Dundee Utd 2.72
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StirlingDundee Utd
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.11.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.50.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.21.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.33.1 / 0.1

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Arbroath 000 000
1 Dundee Utd 000 000
1 Montrose 000 000
1 Spartans 000 000
1 Stirling 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stirling

DLLWLLDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Tranent
UK Friendlies
0-2 0-2 21 L
02/05 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-0 2-2 32 D
25/04 Stranraer
Scotland League Two
1-0 1-1 33 D
18/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-2 2-2 42 D
11/04 Dumbarton
Scotland League Two
0-1 1-2 65 L
04/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
1-2 1-3 52 L
28/03 FC Edinburgh
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-0 74 W
21/03 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-2 2-3 17 L
14/03 Forfar
Scotland League Two
0-3 0-3 12 L
07/03 Annan Athletic
Scotland League Two
0-3 3-3 07 D

Dundee Utd

LDWLWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 St Mirren
Scotland Premiership
1-0 1-1 22 D
12/05 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
0-0 0-0 76 D
09/05 Aberdeen
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-2 26 L
02/05 Kilmarnock
Scotland Premiership
0-1 0-3 81 L
26/04 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
1-0 3-0 21 W
11/04 Livingston
Scotland Premiership
1-0 3-2 40 W
04/04 Rangers
Scotland Premiership
1-2 2-4 13 L
22/03 Celtic
Scotland Premiership
0-0 2-0 74 W
15/03 Dundee
Scotland Premiership
0-0 2-2 75 D
06/03 Falkirk
Scotland FA Cup
1-2 1-2 54 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stirling vs Dundee Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dundee Utd win (77%). Probabilities: Stirling 8%, draw 15%, Dundee Utd 77%.

How many goals are expected in Stirling vs Dundee Utd?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Stirling 0.8 · Dundee Utd 2.72), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Stirling vs Dundee Utd?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.