Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Linlithgow Rose vs Inverness CT
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
Linlithgow Rose0.78
Inverness CT2.78
1X2
Linlithgow Rose
Draw
Inverness CT
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Linlithgow Rose
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Inverness CT
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linlithgow Rose 1562 · Inverness CT 1530
| Linlithgow Rose | Draw | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| Market | 7% | 15% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Linlithgow Rose | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6 | 1.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East Fife | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 2 | St Johnstone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Linlithgow Rose | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 5 | Morton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linlithgow Rose
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | St Johnstone Scotland League Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Morton Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Dumbarton Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Clydebank FC Scotland Lowland League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/04 | Celtic B Scotland Lowland League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Civil Service Strollers Scotland Lowland League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | East Stirlingshire Scotland Lowland League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/03 | Broxburn Athletic Scotland Lowland League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/03 | Gretna 2008 Scotland Lowland League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/03 | Cumbernauld Colts Scotland Lowland League Cup |
1-4 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
Inverness CT
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | East Fife Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/07 | Cove Rangers UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Ross County UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Forres Mechanics Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Clachnacuddin UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linlithgow Rose vs Inverness CT?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Inverness CT win (78%). Probabilities: Linlithgow Rose 7%, draw 15%, Inverness CT 78%.
How many goals are expected in Linlithgow Rose vs Inverness CT?
The model expects 3.56 goals (Linlithgow Rose 0.78 · Inverness CT 2.78), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Linlithgow Rose vs Inverness CT?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.