Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 18:00
Prediction: Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Aberdeen1.92
Queen's Park0.76
1X2
Aberdeen
Draw
Queen's Park
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Queen's Park
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen
2–0
Queen's Park
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aberdeen 1521 · Queen's Park 1550
| Aberdeen | Draw | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aberdeen: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen | Queen's Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen 2–0–0 Queen's Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/25 Scotland FA Cup | Aberdeen | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Queen's Park |
| 17/08/24 Scotland League Cup | Aberdeen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Queen's Park |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen's Park | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Aberdeen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 4 | Queen of South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 5 | Brora Rangers FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Twente Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Hibernian Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/04 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Queen's Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Brora Rangers FC Scotland League Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | Clyde UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Annan Athletic UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 26/06 | Gretna 2008 UK Friendlies |
5-0 | 5-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Partick Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Dunfermline Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Morton Scotland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Raith Scotland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | Ross County Scotland Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen vs Queen's Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aberdeen win (65%). Probabilities: Aberdeen 65%, draw 20%, Queen's Park 15%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen vs Queen's Park?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Aberdeen 1.92 · Queen's Park 0.76), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Queen's Park?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.