Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 16:00
Prediction: Cove Rangers vs St Mirren
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Cove Rangers0.97
St Mirren2.36
1X2
Cove Rangers
Draw
St Mirren
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Cove Rangers
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
St Mirren
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cove Rangers 1507 · St Mirren 1537
| Cove Rangers | Draw | St Mirren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 19% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 19% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cove Rangers | St Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Mirren | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | East Kilbride | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Dumbarton | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cove Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | East Kilbride Scotland League Cup |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | St Johnstone UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Inverness CT UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Huntly Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/07 | Turriff United UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Inverurie Loco Works Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Stenhousemuir Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
St Mirren
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Dumbarton Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Arbroath UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Partick Scotland Premiership Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dundee Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Livingston Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Celtic Scotland FA Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cove Rangers vs St Mirren?
According to our model, the most likely result is an St Mirren win (67%). Probabilities: Cove Rangers 13%, draw 19%, St Mirren 67%.
How many goals are expected in Cove Rangers vs St Mirren?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Cove Rangers 0.97 · St Mirren 2.36), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs St Mirren?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.