Football · Scotland League Cup · 18/07, 16:00

Prediction: Airdrieonians vs Annan Athletic

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Airdrieonians2.22
Annan Athletic0.85
1X2
68% 19% 13%
Airdrieonians Draw Annan Athletic
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Airdrieonians 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DWDLLDLLLL
Annan Athletic 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWDWLL
Head-to-head
Airdrieonians 1–1–1 Annan Athletic (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Airdrieonians 1437 · Annan Athletic 1478
AirdrieoniansDrawAnnan Athletic
Our model68%20%12%
Market69%18%13%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annan Athletic (rating 1437 vs 1478).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AirdrieoniansAnnan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.71.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.11 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.12.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Airdrieonians 111 Annan Athletic

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/07/21
Scotland League Cup
Airdrieonians1-1
HT 0-0
Annan Athletic
24/07/18
Scotland League Cup
Airdrieonians4-1
HT 1-0
Annan Athletic
25/07/15
Scotland League Challenge Cup
Annan Athletic3-1
HT 0-1
Airdrieonians

Standings · Scotland League Cup · League Cup 26/27, Group D

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Dundee 220 926
2 Ross County 110 413
3 Clyde 110 103
4 Airdrieonians 202 250
5 Annan Athletic 202 190

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAirdrieoniansAnnan Athletic
Clyde 0-1 L 1-3 L
Dundee 2-4 L 0-5 L
Elgin 1-1 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Airdrieonians (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Airdrieonians

DWDLLDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Clyde
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-1 22 L
11/07 Dundee
Scotland League Cup
2-1 2-4 32 L
07/07 Falkirk
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-2 30 L
04/07 Ayr
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-2 30 L
27/06 Elgin
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 60 D
09/05 Alloa
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-1 1-2 43 L
05/05 Alloa
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 34 L
01/05 Morton
Scotland Championship
0-0 1-1 48 D
25/04 Ayr
Scotland Championship
0-1 2-1 63 W
18/04 Partick
Scotland Championship
1-0 2-2 78 D

Annan Athletic

LWLLDWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Dundee
Scotland League Cup
0-0 0-5 20 L
11/07 Ross County
Scotland League Cup
0-1 1-4 12 L
30/06 Gretna 2008
UK Friendlies
1-1 4-2 72 W
27/06 Queen's Park
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 40 D
23/06 Johnstone Burgh
UK Friendlies
3-0 4-1 30 W
02/05 Forfar
Scotland League Two
1-1 1-1 52 D
25/04 Clyde
Scotland League Two
0-2 1-3 42 L
18/04 Spartans
Scotland League Two
0-1 0-2 33 L
11/04 Elgin
Scotland League Two
1-0 3-0 26 W
04/04 East Kilbride
Scotland League Two
0-0 1-2 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Airdrieonians vs Annan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Airdrieonians win (68%). Probabilities: Airdrieonians 68%, draw 19%, Annan Athletic 13%.

How many goals are expected in Airdrieonians vs Annan Athletic?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Airdrieonians 2.22 · Annan Athletic 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Airdrieonians vs Annan Athletic?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.