Football · Panama LPF · 01/09, 03:00

Prediction: UMECIT vs Veraguas CD

Team pages: UMECIT · Veraguas CD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

UMECIT1.35

Veraguas CD1.1

1X2

41% 29% 30%

UMECIT Draw Veraguas CD

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLDDDLL

Veraguas CD 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDDDWWDD

Head-to-head

UMECIT 1–3–2 Veraguas CD (6 last)

Veraguas CD1-4UMECIT
UMECIT1-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD2-0UMECIT
UMECIT0-0Veraguas CD
UMECIT0-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD0-0UMECIT

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT 1446 · Veraguas CD 1534

	UMECIT	Draw	Veraguas CD
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	41%	29%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veraguas CD (rating 1446 vs 1534).
H2H favours Veraguas CD: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT	Veraguas CD
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	1.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.41 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +17’	2.15	3.10	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:36 +2’	2.41	3.03	2.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT 1–3–2 Veraguas CD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	1-4 HT 1-0	UMECIT
30/09/25 Panama LPF	UMECIT	1-1 HT 0-1	Veraguas CD
28/04/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	2-0 HT 1-0	UMECIT
27/01/25 Panama LPF	UMECIT	0-0 HT 0-0	Veraguas CD
26/10/24 Panama LPF	UMECIT	0-1 HT 0-1	Veraguas CD
13/08/24 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	0-0 HT 0-0	UMECIT

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
2	Veraguas CD	5	2	3	0	9	7	9
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
4	CD Universitario	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
5	Herrera FC	5	1	2	2	4	6	5
6	Union Cocle	5	1	1	3	3	7	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT	Veraguas CD
Alianza FC Panama	0-0 D	1-1 D
Union Cocle	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Veraguas CD (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT

DWDDLDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
16/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
09/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
02/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	7	9	D
26/07	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
16/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-3	1	9	L
10/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/05	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
03/05	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-2	5-2	5	5	W
26/04	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	2-2	2	7	D

Veraguas CD

WDWDDDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
16/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	7	6	D
09/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
17/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
10/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/05	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
26/04	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
19/04	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT vs Veraguas CD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UMECIT win (41%). Probabilities: UMECIT 41%, draw 29%, Veraguas CD 30%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT vs Veraguas CD?

The model expects 2.45 goals (UMECIT 1.35 · Veraguas CD 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT vs Veraguas CD?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.