Football · Panama LPF · 05/09, 03:30

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido vs Veraguas CD

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido · Veraguas CD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

CD Arabe Unido1.18

Veraguas CD1

1X2

39% 30% 30%

CD Arabe Unido Draw Veraguas CD

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLDWWD

Veraguas CD 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWWDDD

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido 4–2 Veraguas CD (6 last)

CD Arabe Unido2-3Veraguas CD
CD Arabe Unido1-0Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD0-2CD Arabe Unido
CD Arabe Unido4-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD3-2CD Arabe Unido
Veraguas CD0-1CD Arabe Unido

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido 1483 · Veraguas CD 1556

	CD Arabe Unido	Draw	Veraguas CD
Our model	39%	32%	30%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veraguas CD (rating 1483 vs 1556).
H2H favours CD Arabe Unido: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido	Veraguas CD
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.3	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 19:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.58 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:36 +5’	2.10	3.10	3.20
04:34 +12’	2.20▲	3.10	3.00▼
19:22 +3’	2.25▲	3.10	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:30	2.31	2.96	3.12
13:39 +1’	2.37▲	3.00▲	2.97▼
19:23 +1’	2.55▲	2.94▼	2.79▼
23:26 +2’	2.54▼	2.93▼	2.81▲
02:25 +1’	2.58▲	2.93	2.86▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido 4–0–2 Veraguas CD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/26 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	2-3 HT 1-2	Veraguas CD
21/09/25 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	1-0 HT 1-0	Veraguas CD
17/03/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	0-2 HT 0-0	CD Arabe Unido
01/09/24 Panama LPF	CD Arabe Unido	4-1 HT 2-1	Veraguas CD
03/03/24 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	3-2 HT 2-0	CD Arabe Unido
19/09/22 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	6	4	1	1	15	9	13
2	Veraguas CD	7	2	4	1	11	11	10
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	6	1	3	2	8	7	6
4	CD Universitario	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
5	Herrera FC	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
5	Union Cocle	6	1	2	3	5	9	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido	Veraguas CD
CD Universitario	0-0 D	2-1 W
UMECIT	0-0 D	1-1 D
Alianza FC Panama	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Veraguas CD (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido

LDDLDLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
22/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	0	6	W
18/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
09/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
01/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
25/07	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	1	6	D
03/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	2	6	L
26/04	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
19/04	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
11/04	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-4	5	7	L

Veraguas CD

DWDDDWWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
23/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
16/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	7	6	D
09/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
17/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
10/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
02/05	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
26/04	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	0	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido vs Veraguas CD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido win (39%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido 39%, draw 30%, Veraguas CD 30%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido vs Veraguas CD?

The model expects 2.19 goals (CD Arabe Unido 1.18 · Veraguas CD 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido vs Veraguas CD?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.