Football · Panama LPF · 06/09, 01:15

Prediction: CD Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito

Team pages: CD Universitario · Sporting San Miguelito

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

CD Universitario0.95

Sporting San Miguelito1.2

1X2

28% 31% 41%

CD Universitario Draw Sporting San Miguelito

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Universitario 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDDWD

Sporting San Miguelito 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLDLDWLW

Head-to-head

CD Universitario 1–3–2 Sporting San Miguelito (6 last)

CD Universitario1-1Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito0-0CD Universitario
CD Universitario1-0Sporting San Miguelito
CD Universitario0-2Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito1-1CD Universitario
Sporting San Miguelito4-0CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario 1469 · Sporting San Miguelito 1484

	CD Universitario	Draw	Sporting San Miguelito
Our model	28%	32%	40%
Market	29%	30%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Universitario	Sporting San Miguelito
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.33
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.63 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.36 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:21 +21’	2.45	3.00	2.63
08:31 +9’	2.75▲	3.00	2.35▼
03:36 +3’	3.10▲	3.00	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:39	3.37	2.72	2.34
14:31	3.33▼	2.72	2.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario 1–3–2 Sporting San Miguelito

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/03/26 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-1 HT 1-0	Sporting San Miguelito
29/09/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario
23/03/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	1-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
22/09/24 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-2 HT 0-2	Sporting San Miguelito
24/03/24 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Universitario
18/09/23 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	4-0 HT 2-0	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	6	4	1	1	15	9	13
2	Veraguas CD	7	2	4	1	11	11	10
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	6	1	3	2	8	7	6
4	CD Universitario	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
5	Herrera FC	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
5	Union Cocle	6	1	2	3	5	9	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Universitario	Sporting San Miguelito
CD Arabe Unido	0-0 D	0-1 L
Herrera FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario

WLLLLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
11/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
03/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
26/07	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
02/05	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	2-4	2-5	9	8	L
26/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
19/04	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
13/04	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	2	9	W

Sporting San Miguelito

DLWLDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
16/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
10/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
28/07	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
03/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-3	1	0	L
26/04	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/04	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-2	0-3	5	7	L
14/04	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	2-2	2	12	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting San Miguelito win (41%). Probabilities: CD Universitario 28%, draw 31%, Sporting San Miguelito 41%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito?

The model expects 2.15 goals (CD Universitario 0.95 · Sporting San Miguelito 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.