Football · Panama LPF · 06/09, 03:30

Prediction: Plaza Amador vs Herrera FC

Team pages: Plaza Amador · Herrera FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Plaza Amador2.8

Herrera FC1.17

1X2

70% 17% 12%

Plaza Amador Draw Herrera FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWWWL

Herrera FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Plaza Amador 3–2–1 Herrera FC (6 last)

Plaza Amador7-2Herrera FC
Plaza Amador2-2Herrera FC
Herrera FC0-2Plaza Amador
Herrera FC1-1Plaza Amador
Herrera FC1-2Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador1-2Herrera FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador 1583 · Herrera FC 1426

	Plaza Amador	Draw	Herrera FC
Our model	71%	17%	13%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1583 vs 1426).
H2H favours Plaza Amador: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador	Herrera FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.1	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	6.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.58 ★
2	8.00 → 8.00	Pinn 8.75

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:33 +11’	1.27	5.00	8.00
08:31 +10’	1.28▲	5.00	7.50▼
06:52 +5’	1.27▼	5.00	8.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:41	1.24	5.63	8.80
10:32	1.25▲	5.58▼	8.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador 3–2–1 Herrera FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	7-2 HT 2-0	Herrera FC
14/09/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	2-2 HT 1-0	Herrera FC
30/03/25 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador
31/08/24 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador
13/05/24 Panama LPF	Herrera FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Plaza Amador
03/03/24 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	1-2 HT 1-2	Herrera FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	6	4	1	1	15	9	13
2	Veraguas CD	7	2	4	1	11	11	10
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	6	1	3	2	8	7	6
4	CD Universitario	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
5	Herrera FC	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
5	Union Cocle	6	1	2	3	5	9	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador	Herrera FC
San Francisco FC	1-4 L	1-3 L
Sporting San Miguelito	2-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
24/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	0	2	W
17/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	3-1	4-2	7	6	W
09/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-1	3-2	2	6	W
02/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
25/07	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	0	6	D
24/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
16/05	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	3-0	1	9	W
10/05	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	2	6	W

Herrera FC

LDLLWDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	4	7	L
23/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
16/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
08/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	3	6	L
04/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
26/07	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	7	10	W
02/05	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-2	0-4	5	7	L
26/04	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
21/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/04	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-1	1-2	2	18	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador vs Herrera FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador win (70%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador 70%, draw 17%, Herrera FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador vs Herrera FC?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Plaza Amador 2.8 · Herrera FC 1.17), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador vs Herrera FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.