Football · Panama LPF · 20/09, 03:30

Prediction: Plaza Amador vs Veraguas CD

Team pages: Plaza Amador · Veraguas CD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Plaza Amador2.24

Veraguas CD1.26

1X2

58% 22% 19%

Plaza Amador Draw Veraguas CD

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Plaza Amador 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWWLWD

Veraguas CD 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWWDDDLW

Head-to-head

Plaza Amador 5–1–0 Veraguas CD (6 last)

Veraguas CD1-1Plaza Amador
Veraguas CD0-3Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador3-1Veraguas CD
Veraguas CD0-1Plaza Amador
Plaza Amador2-1Veraguas CD
Plaza Amador1-0Veraguas CD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plaza Amador 1579 · Veraguas CD 1514

	Plaza Amador	Draw	Veraguas CD
Our model	59%	22%	20%
Market	58%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador (rating 1579 vs 1514).
H2H favours Plaza Amador: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plaza Amador	Veraguas CD
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.5	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.90

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.14
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.42 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:56 +6’	1.55	3.90	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:54 +187’	1.50	4.14	5.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador 5–1–0 Veraguas CD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	1-1 HT 1-0	Plaza Amador
06/10/25 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	0-3 HT 0-2	Plaza Amador
23/02/25 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	3-1 HT 3-1	Veraguas CD
08/09/24 Panama LPF	Veraguas CD	0-1 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador
11/03/24 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	2-1 HT 0-0	Veraguas CD
27/08/22 Panama LPF	Plaza Amador	1-0 HT 1-0	Veraguas CD

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	9	5	2	2	19	12	17
2	Veraguas CD	8	3	4	1	13	12	13
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	8	1	4	3	10	11	7
4	CD Universitario	8	1	4	3	7	9	7
5	Herrera FC	8	1	2	5	7	16	5
6	Union Cocle	8	1	2	5	6	15	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plaza Amador	Veraguas CD
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-2 D	1-1 D
Herrera FC	4-1 W	2-2 D
San Francisco FC	1-4 L	3-3 D
UMECIT	3-0 W	1-1 D
Alianza FC Panama	4-2 W	2-1 W
CD Arabe Unido	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plaza Amador

WDDWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	7	3	W
30/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
24/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	3-0	0	2	W
17/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	3-1	4-2	7	6	W
09/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	2-1	3-2	2	6	W
02/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
25/07	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	2-2	0	6	D
24/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
16/05	UMECIT Panama LPF	1-0	3-0	1	9	W

Veraguas CD

DDDWWDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
05/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
01/09	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
23/08	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
16/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-2	2-2	7	6	D
09/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
03/08	CD Universitario Panama LPF	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
27/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
17/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
10/05	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador vs Veraguas CD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador win (58%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador 58%, draw 22%, Veraguas CD 19%.

How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador vs Veraguas CD?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Plaza Amador 2.24 · Veraguas CD 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Plaza Amador vs Veraguas CD?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.