Football · Panama LPF · 27/09, 01:15

Prediction: CD Universitario vs UMECIT

Team pages: CD Universitario · UMECIT

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

CD Universitario1.11

UMECIT1.02

1X2

37% 31% 32%

CD Universitario Draw UMECIT

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Universitario 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWDDLD

UMECIT 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDLLDWWW

Head-to-head

CD Universitario 3–1–2 UMECIT (6 last)

UMECIT3-0CD Universitario
CD Universitario2-0UMECIT
UMECIT0-2CD Universitario
CD Universitario2-2UMECIT
CD Universitario0-1UMECIT
UMECIT0-1CD Universitario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario 1462 · UMECIT 1485

	CD Universitario	Draw	UMECIT
Our model	36%	32%	31%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Universitario: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Universitario	UMECIT
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.9	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.1	5.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.40▼	Bet365 2.40
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.45 → 2.75▲	Pinn 2.94 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +23’	2.70	3.00	2.45
13:17 +11’	2.40▼	3.00	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +19’	2.38	2.97	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario 3–1–2 UMECIT

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Panama LPF	UMECIT	3-0 HT 1-0	CD Universitario
14/09/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-0 HT 0-0	UMECIT
15/04/25 Panama LPF	UMECIT	0-2 HT 0-1	CD Universitario
08/02/25 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	2-2 HT 1-1	UMECIT
20/10/24 Panama LPF	CD Universitario	0-1 HT 0-0	UMECIT
28/07/24 Panama LPF	UMECIT	0-1 HT 0-0	CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	9	5	2	2	19	12	17
2	Veraguas CD	9	3	5	1	14	13	14
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	9	2	4	3	14	14	10
4	CD Universitario	9	1	5	3	7	9	8
5	Union Cocle	9	1	2	6	6	16	5
6	Herrera FC	9	1	2	6	7	22	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Universitario	UMECIT
Alianza FC Panama	0-0 D	0-0 D
Tauro FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Sporting San Miguelito	1-1 D	0-1 L
CD Arabe Unido	0-0 D	0-0 D
Herrera FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Union Cocle	1-1 D	1-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-2 D	2-0 W
Veraguas CD	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 5 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UMECIT (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario

LLLDDWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
13/09	Tauro FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	10	8	L
06/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
30/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
16/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
11/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	2-0	2-2	5	6	D
03/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
26/07	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
02/05	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	2-4	2-5	9	8	L

UMECIT

LDDDLLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	3-1	3-1	2	5	W
08/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
01/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	0	6	D
24/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
16/08	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
09/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
02/08	Tauro FC Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	7	9	D
26/07	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
16/05	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-3	1	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario vs UMECIT?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Universitario win (37%). Probabilities: CD Universitario 37%, draw 31%, UMECIT 32%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario vs UMECIT?

The model expects 2.12 goals (CD Universitario 1.11 · UMECIT 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario vs UMECIT?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.