Football · Panama LPF · 27/09, 03:30

Prediction: Tauro FC vs San Francisco FC

Team pages: Tauro FC · San Francisco FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Tauro FC1.72

San Francisco FC1.51

1X2

41% 27% 32%

Tauro FC Draw San Francisco FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Tauro FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWWWW

San Francisco FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWDWDWL

Head-to-head

Tauro FC 2–4–0 San Francisco FC (6 last)

San Francisco FC1-4Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1San Francisco FC
San Francisco FC1-1Tauro FC
Tauro FC1-1San Francisco FC
Tauro FC2-1San Francisco FC
San Francisco FC0-0Tauro FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tauro FC 1525 · San Francisco FC 1540

	Tauro FC	Draw	San Francisco FC
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	40%	28%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tauro FC: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tauro FC	San Francisco FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.3	2.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.5 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.20

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.57 ★
X	3.25 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:10 +18’	2.00	3.25	3.20
13:27 +3’	2.20▲	3.20▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +37’	2.71	2.95	2.61
13:33 +56’	2.70▼	2.95	2.62▲
14:44 +47’	2.57▼	2.97▲	2.74▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tauro FC 2–4–0 San Francisco FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Panama LPF	San Francisco FC	1-4 HT 0-0	Tauro FC
04/10/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 0-0	San Francisco FC
22/02/25 Panama LPF	San Francisco FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Tauro FC
02/09/24 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	1-1 HT 1-1	San Francisco FC
29/08/24 CONCACAF Central American Cup	Tauro FC	2-1 HT 0-0	San Francisco FC
25/05/24 Panama LPF	San Francisco FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tauro FC

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	San Francisco FC	9	5	2	2	19	12	17
2	Veraguas CD	9	3	5	1	14	13	14
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera	9	2	4	3	14	14	10
4	CD Universitario	9	1	5	3	7	9	8
5	Union Cocle	9	1	2	6	6	16	5
6	Herrera FC	9	1	2	6	7	22	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tauro FC	San Francisco FC
Herrera FC	6-0 W	3-1 W
CD Universitario	1-0 W	2-1 W
Union Cocle	2-0 W	1-2 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	2-1 W	2-1 W
Alianza FC Panama	0-2 L	1-1 D
CD Arabe Unido	0-1 L	1-2 L
Plaza Amador	2-3 L	4-1 W
Sporting San Miguelito	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: San Francisco FC (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tauro FC

LDDLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
18/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
09/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
02/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	9	D
28/07	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
03/05	UMECIT Panama LPF	2-2	2-5	5	5	L

San Francisco FC

WWLWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
15/09	Sporting San Miguelito Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
07/09	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
30/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
23/08	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	2-1	3-3	5	3	D
15/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
08/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
02/08	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-2	1-2	10	3	L
26/07	CD Universitario Panama LPF	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
02/05	CD Universitario Panama LPF	4-2	5-2	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tauro FC vs San Francisco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tauro FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tauro FC 41%, draw 27%, San Francisco FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Tauro FC vs San Francisco FC?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Tauro FC 1.72 · San Francisco FC 1.51), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tauro FC vs San Francisco FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.