Football · Panama LPF · 20/09, 01:15

Prediction: Alianza FC Panama vs CD Universitario

Team pages: Alianza FC Panama · CD Universitario

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Alianza FC Panama1.33
CD Universitario0.92
1X2
45% 30% 25%
Alianza FC Panama Draw CD Universitario
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Alianza FC Panama 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWDLWDDL
CD Universitario 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLLLDDWDDL
Head-to-head
Alianza FC Panama 3–2–1 CD Universitario (6 last)
  • CD Universitario0-1Alianza FC Panama
  • Alianza FC Panama1-1CD Universitario
  • CD Universitario0-0Alianza FC Panama
  • Alianza FC Panama0-1CD Universitario
  • CD Universitario1-2Alianza FC Panama
  • Alianza FC Panama1-0CD Universitario
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alianza FC Panama 1488 · CD Universitario 1449
Alianza FC PanamaDrawCD Universitario
Our model45%31%25%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Alianza FC Panama: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Alianza FC PanamaCD Universitario
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.21.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.83.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.16.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza FC Panama 321 CD Universitario

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Panama LPF
CD Universitario0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza FC Panama
13/11/25
Panama LPF
Alianza FC Panama1-1
HT 1-1
CD Universitario
21/09/25
Panama LPF
CD Universitario0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza FC Panama
18/03/25
Panama LPF
Alianza FC Panama0-1
HT 0-0
CD Universitario
31/08/24
Panama LPF
CD Universitario1-2
HT 0-2
Alianza FC Panama
02/03/24
Panama LPF
Alianza FC Panama1-0
HT 0-0
CD Universitario

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco FC 9522 191217
2 Veraguas CD 8341 131213
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera 8143 10117
4 CD Universitario 8143 797
5 Herrera FC 8125 7165
6 Union Cocle 8125 6155

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlianza FC PanamaCD Universitario
Veraguas CD 1-2 L 1-2 L
San Francisco FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Union Cocle 2-2 D 1-1 D
Tauro FC 2-0 W 0-1 L
Sporting San Miguelito 0-0 D 1-1 D
CD Arabe Unido 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Alianza FC Panama (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alianza FC Panama

DDDWDLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
1-1 1-2 55 L
07/09 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 35 D
30/08 Union Cocle
Panama LPF
0-1 2-2 86 D
25/08 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
1-0 2-0 36 W
17/08 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-3 2-4 56 L
10/08 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 14 D
01/08 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
1-0 1-0 35 W
26/07 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 11 D
24/05 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-1 2-2 76 D
17/05 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 22 D

CD Universitario

LLLLDDWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-1 0-1 108 L
06/09 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-1 1-1 105 D
30/08 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 56 D
23/08 Herrera FC
Panama LPF
0-0 1-0 37 W
16/08 Union Cocle
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 87 D
11/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
2-0 2-2 56 D
03/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
1-0 1-2 68 L
26/07 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
0-2 1-2 45 L
02/05 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
2-4 2-5 98 L
26/04 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-1 2-3 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alianza FC Panama vs CD Universitario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alianza FC Panama win (45%). Probabilities: Alianza FC Panama 45%, draw 30%, CD Universitario 25%.

How many goals are expected in Alianza FC Panama vs CD Universitario?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Alianza FC Panama 1.33 · CD Universitario 0.92), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Alianza FC Panama vs CD Universitario?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.