Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 27/09, 16:30

Prediction: FC Milevsko vs Spartak Sobeslav

Team pages: FC Milevsko · Spartak Sobeslav

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

FC Milevsko1.34

Spartak Sobeslav2.24

1X2

21% 21% 57%

FC Milevsko Draw Spartak Sobeslav

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Milevsko 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLLLLD

Spartak Sobeslav 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Milevsko 0–1–2 Spartak Sobeslav (3 last)

FC Milevsko1-2Spartak Sobeslav
Spartak Sobeslav1-1FC Milevsko
FC Milevsko2-4Spartak Sobeslav

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Milevsko 1413 · Spartak Sobeslav 1551

	FC Milevsko	Draw	Spartak Sobeslav
Our model	21%	22%	57%
Market	21%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Sobeslav (rating 1413 vs 1551).
H2H favours Spartak Sobeslav: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Milevsko	Spartak Sobeslav
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	2.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.8	2.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.20

X4.20

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:24 +1’	4.20	4.20	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Milevsko 0–1–2 Spartak Sobeslav

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Milevsko	1-2 HT 1-0	Spartak Sobeslav
04/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Spartak Sobeslav	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Milevsko
02/08/25 Czechia Cup	FC Milevsko	2-4 HT 2-2	Spartak Sobeslav

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Milevsko	Spartak Sobeslav
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	2-2 D	2-2 D
Jiskra Domazlice B	0-3 L	3-2 W
SK Petrin Plzen	0-3 L	1-2 L
FK Horovicko	0-1 L	1-2 L
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	1-2 L	5-1 W
FK Komarov	0-0 D	2-2 D
FC Rokycany	1-2 L	3-2 W
TJ Prestice B	5-2 W	4-2 W
TJ Milin	0-0 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Spartak Sobeslav (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Milevsko

DWLLDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
30/08	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/08	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	3-5	7	2	L
07/06	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Spartak Sobeslav

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	3	7	D
29/08	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
14/08	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
12/06	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	5	3	W
06/06	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/05	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-2	3	3	W
23/05	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Milevsko vs Spartak Sobeslav?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Sobeslav win (57%). Probabilities: FC Milevsko 21%, draw 21%, Spartak Sobeslav 57%.

How many goals are expected in FC Milevsko vs Spartak Sobeslav?

The model expects 3.58 goals (FC Milevsko 1.34 · Spartak Sobeslav 2.24), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Milevsko vs Spartak Sobeslav?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.