Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 26/09, 10:30

Prediction: FK Usti nad Labem B vs SK Ujezd Praha 4

Team pages: FK Usti nad Labem B · SK Ujezd Praha 4

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

FK Usti nad Labem B1.33

SK Ujezd Praha 42.16

1X2

23% 21% 56%

FK Usti nad Labem B Draw SK Ujezd Praha 4

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Usti nad Labem B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLDLLWLL

SK Ujezd Praha 4 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLWWLW

Head-to-head

FK Usti nad Labem B 0–1–3 SK Ujezd Praha 4 (4 last)

FK Usti nad Labem B1-1SK Ujezd Praha 4
SK Ujezd Praha 42-1FK Usti nad Labem B
SK Ujezd Praha 45-0FK Usti nad Labem B
FK Usti nad Labem B0-3SK Ujezd Praha 4

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Usti nad Labem B 1440 · SK Ujezd Praha 4 1546

	FK Usti nad Labem B	Draw	SK Ujezd Praha 4
Our model	22%	22%	55%
Market	23%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Ujezd Praha 4 (rating 1440 vs 1546).
H2H favours SK Ujezd Praha 4: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Usti nad Labem B	SK Ujezd Praha 4
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.7	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.5	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.33

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:04 +10’	3.90	4.33	1.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Usti nad Labem B 0–1–3 SK Ujezd Praha 4

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem B	1-1 HT 1-1	SK Ujezd Praha 4
18/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	2-1 HT 0-0	FK Usti nad Labem B
22/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Ujezd Praha 4	5-0 HT 2-0	FK Usti nad Labem B
25/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Usti nad Labem B	0-3 HT 0-2	SK Ujezd Praha 4

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Usti nad Labem B	SK Ujezd Praha 4
FK Brandys nad Labem	2-4 L	2-1 W
Sokol Hostoun	0-4 L	0-2 L
FC Tempo Prague	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Ujezd Praha 4 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Usti nad Labem B

DWLLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
12/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
06/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	0	7	W
29/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
21/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	10	4	L
15/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	5	8	L
10/06	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
06/06	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

SK Ujezd Praha 4

WWLDWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
05/09	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
29/08	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	6	11	W
22/08	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	4	4	L
15/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	2	7	D
13/06	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/06	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	4-1	5	3	W
30/05	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Usti nad Labem B vs SK Ujezd Praha 4?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Ujezd Praha 4 win (56%). Probabilities: FK Usti nad Labem B 23%, draw 21%, SK Ujezd Praha 4 56%.

How many goals are expected in FK Usti nad Labem B vs SK Ujezd Praha 4?

The model expects 3.49 goals (FK Usti nad Labem B 1.33 · SK Ujezd Praha 4 2.16), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Usti nad Labem B vs SK Ujezd Praha 4?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.