Football · Colombia Primera B · 04/10, 23:00

Prediction: Tigres FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira

Team pages: Tigres FC · Internacional FC de Palmira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Tigres FC0.96

Internacional FC de Palmira1.06

1X2

31% 32% 37%

Tigres FC Draw Internacional FC de Palmira

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Tigres FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWDWD

Internacional FC de Palmira 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDWLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Tigres FC 1–1–4 Internacional FC de Palmira (6 last)

Internacional FC de Palmira2-2Tigres FC
Tigres FC1-0Internacional FC de Palmira
Internacional FC de Palmira2-1Tigres FC
Tigres FC0-1Internacional FC de Palmira
Tigres FC1-2Internacional FC de Palmira
Internacional FC de Palmira1-0Tigres FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1539 · Internacional FC de Palmira 1485

	Tigres FC	Draw	Internacional FC de Palmira
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	32%	31%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.02 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres FC (rating 1539 vs 1485).
H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tigres FC	Internacional FC de Palmira
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:08 +6’	2.88	3.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 1–1–4 Internacional FC de Palmira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	2-2 HT 2-1	Tigres FC
25/04/26 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Internacional FC de Palmira
26/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	2-1 HT 0-0	Tigres FC
28/09/25 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
07/06/25 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
02/06/25 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	1-0 HT 0-0	Tigres FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	10	6	2	2	17	9	20
2	Independiente Valle del Cauca	10	6	2	2	14	6	20
3	Tigres FC	10	5	3	2	12	4	18
4	Patriotas FC	10	5	2	3	17	16	17
5	Real Cartagena	10	4	3	3	17	11	15
6	Boca Juniors De Cali	9	4	2	3	14	11	14
7	Atletico Cali FC	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
8	Internacional FC de Palmira	10	4	2	4	8	11	14
9	Deportes Quindio	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
10	Real San Andres	10	2	6	2	12	15	12
11	Bogota FC	10	3	2	5	6	10	11
12	Envigado FC	9	2	4	3	9	8	10
13	Orsomarso	9	2	3	4	7	10	9
14	Itagui Leones	10	2	3	5	7	16	9
15	Union Magdalena	9	2	2	5	6	10	8
16	Barranquilla FC	10	2	2	6	10	16	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tigres FC	Internacional FC de Palmira
Real San Andres	1-1 D	1-3 L
Atletico Cali FC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Bogota FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Patriotas FC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Real Cartagena	3-0 W	2-1 W
Itagui Leones	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigres FC

LDWWWLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	15	4	D
22/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
14/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
07/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
30/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	3-0	0	4	W
24/08	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
19/08	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
01/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
25/07	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	6	9	L

Internacional FC de Palmira

LDDWLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
22/09	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
13/09	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
09/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
04/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
29/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
25/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
03/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	15	5	D
26/07	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-3	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Internacional FC de Palmira win (37%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 31%, draw 32%, Internacional FC de Palmira 37%.

How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Tigres FC 0.96 · Internacional FC de Palmira 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.