Football · Colombia Primera B · 09/10, 22:00

Prediction: Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres

Team pages: Real Soacha Cundinamarca · Real San Andres

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.89

Real San Andres0.84

1X2

61% 24% 15%

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Draw Real San Andres

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWWWWW

Real San Andres 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DDDWWDLDDL

Head-to-head

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 4–2 Real San Andres (6 last)

Real San Andres2-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-0Real San Andres
Real San Andres3-4Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real San Andres0-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca4-2Real San Andres
Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-1Real San Andres

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1556 · Real San Andres 1495

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Draw	Real San Andres
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	61%	24%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca (rating 1556 vs 1495).
H2H favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Real San Andres
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.90

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +11’	1.50	3.90	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 4–0–2 Real San Andres

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	2-1 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
26/07/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-0 HT 1-0	Real San Andres
15/02/25 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	3-4 HT 1-3	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
29/07/24 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
10/02/24 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	4-2 HT 1-0	Real San Andres
11/10/23 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	0-1 HT 0-0	Real San Andres

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19	10	23
2	Independiente Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15	6	23
3	Tigres FC	11	6	3	2	13	4	21
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
5	Patriotas FC	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
6	Deportes Quindio	11	4	4	3	9	8	16
7	Real Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19	14	15
8	Atletico Cali FC	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
9	Internacional FC de Palmira	11	4	2	5	8	12	14
10	Envigado FC	11	2	6	3	12	11	12
11	Bogota FC	11	3	3	5	9	13	12
12	Real San Andres	11	2	6	3	13	18	12
13	Union Magdalena	10	3	2	5	9	11	11
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7	11	10
15	Itagui Leones	10	2	3	5	7	16	9
16	Barranquilla FC	10	2	2	6	10	16	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Real San Andres
Atletico Cali FC	2-1 W	2-2 D
Barranquilla FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Deportes Quindio	3-1 W	0-0 D
Union Magdalena	2-1 W	1-3 L
Internacional FC de Palmira	2-0 W	3-1 W
Patriotas FC	4-1 W	2-2 D
Orsomarso	0-2 L	0-0 D
Boca Juniors De Cali	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Soacha Cundinamarca (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

DWDLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
28/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-1	2	7	W
13/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
04/09	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
29/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	7	5	W
25/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
21/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
06/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	6	6	W
02/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Real San Andres

DDDWWDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-2	1-3	11	5	L
26/09	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
22/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	7	8	L
06/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
24/08	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	6	7	D
31/07	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Soacha Cundinamarca win (61%). Probabilities: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 61%, draw 24%, Real San Andres 15%.

How many goals are expected in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1.89 · Real San Andres 0.84), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.