Football · Colombia Primera B · 06/10, 00:00

Prediction: Bogota FC vs Envigado FC

Team pages: Bogota FC · Envigado FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.85Total

Bogota FC0.84

Envigado FC1.01

1X2

29% 33% 38%

Bogota FC Draw Envigado FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Bogota FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLDWL

Envigado FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDDDWD

Head-to-head

Bogota FC 1–0 Envigado FC (1 last)

Envigado FC1-2Bogota FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bogota FC 1470 · Envigado FC 1463

	Bogota FC	Draw	Envigado FC
Our model	28%	35%	37%
Market	30%	31%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bogota FC	Envigado FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.2	2.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.00

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.65

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.50 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.51 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.7% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +4’	2.75	3.00	2.50
03:39 +4’	3.10▲	3.00	2.30▼
06:07 +9’	3.10	3.00	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:59 +48’	2.95	2.83	2.60
01:59 +104’	3.05▲	2.84▲	2.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bogota FC 1–0–0 Envigado FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Envigado FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Bogota FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	10	6	2	2	17	9	20
2	Independiente Valle del Cauca	10	6	2	2	14	6	20
3	Tigres FC	10	5	3	2	12	4	18
4	Patriotas FC	10	5	2	3	17	16	17
5	Real Cartagena	10	4	3	3	17	11	15
6	Boca Juniors De Cali	9	4	2	3	14	11	14
7	Atletico Cali FC	10	4	2	4	12	15	14
8	Internacional FC de Palmira	10	4	2	4	8	11	14
9	Deportes Quindio	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
10	Real San Andres	10	2	6	2	12	15	12
11	Envigado FC	10	2	5	3	9	8	11
12	Bogota FC	10	3	2	5	6	10	11
13	Orsomarso	10	2	4	4	7	10	10
14	Itagui Leones	10	2	3	5	7	16	9
15	Union Magdalena	9	2	2	5	6	10	8
16	Barranquilla FC	10	2	2	6	10	16	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bogota FC	Envigado FC
Deportes Quindio	0-1 L	0-1 L
Tigres FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Atletico Cali FC	1-2 L	3-0 W
Boca Juniors De Cali	2-1 W	2-2 D
Real Cartagena	0-2 L	0-0 D
Itagui Leones	0-1 L	1-1 D
Union Magdalena	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bogota FC

WDLLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
21/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
14/09	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
05/09	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	12	0	L
29/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	14	3	L
25/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
21/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	7	10	L
06/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	9	0	L
03/08	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
25/07	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	2	3	W

Envigado FC

WDLLLDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
27/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	2	4	W
22/09	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
12/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
06/09	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	11	4	D
01/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
24/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/08	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
03/08	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
27/07	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bogota FC vs Envigado FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Envigado FC win (38%). Probabilities: Bogota FC 29%, draw 33%, Envigado FC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Bogota FC vs Envigado FC?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Bogota FC 0.84 · Envigado FC 1.01), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Bogota FC vs Envigado FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.