Football · Colombia Primera B · 15/10, 00:00

Prediction: Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC

Team pages: Real Soacha Cundinamarca · Bogota FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.65

Bogota FC0.85

1X2

55% 26% 18%

Real Soacha Cundinamarca Draw Bogota FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWL

Bogota FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLDD

Head-to-head

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1–4–1 Bogota FC (6 last)

Bogota FC2-2Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Bogota FC0-3Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-2Bogota FC
Bogota FC2-2Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-2Bogota FC
Bogota FC0-0Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1558 · Bogota FC 1452

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Draw	Bogota FC
Our model	55%	27%	18%
Market	56%	26%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca (rating 1558 vs 1452).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Bogota FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +11’	1.65	3.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1–4–1 Bogota FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Colombia Primera B	Bogota FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
12/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Bogota FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
06/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-2 HT 0-1	Bogota FC
22/09/24 Colombia Primera B	Bogota FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
20/04/24 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-2 HT 0-2	Bogota FC
21/09/23 Colombia Primera B	Bogota FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	12	7	3	2	16	7	24
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	12	7	2	3	19	11	23
3	Tigres FC	12	6	4	2	14	5	22
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
5	Patriotas FC	12	5	3	4	17	17	18
6	Real Cartagena	12	4	4	4	21	16	16
7	Deportes Quindio	11	4	4	3	9	8	16
8	Atletico Cali FC	12	4	3	5	15	19	15
9	Real San Andres	12	3	6	3	14	18	15
10	Internacional FC de Palmira	11	4	2	5	8	12	14
11	Bogota FC	12	3	4	5	9	13	13
12	Envigado FC	11	2	6	3	12	11	12
13	Union Magdalena	11	3	3	5	10	12	12
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7	11	10
15	Itagui Leones	11	2	4	5	8	17	10
16	Barranquilla FC	11	2	3	6	11	17	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	Bogota FC
Atletico Cali FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Barranquilla FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Deportes Quindio	3-1 W	0-1 L
Patriotas FC	4-1 W	0-0 D
Itagui Leones	1-1 D	0-1 L
Boca Juniors De Cali	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Real Soacha Cundinamarca (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

WDLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	6	10	L
03/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
28/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-1	2	7	W
13/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
04/09	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
29/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	7	5	W
25/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
21/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
06/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	6	6	W

Bogota FC

LLWLLDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
06/10	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	3-3	4	6	D
29/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
21/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
14/09	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
05/09	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	12	0	L
29/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	14	3	L
25/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
21/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	7	10	L
06/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	9	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Soacha Cundinamarca win (55%). Probabilities: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 55%, draw 26%, Bogota FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1.65 · Bogota FC 0.85), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.