Prediction: Melbourne City FC 2 vs Heidelberg Utd
Expected goals: 2.91 (Melbourne City FC 2 1.15 · Heidelberg Utd 1.76). The model gives 24% home, 24% draw, 51% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Melbourne City FC 2 is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Heidelberg Utd 5-2-3 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Melbourne City FC 2 and 0 for Heidelberg Utd, with 1 draw.
| Melbourne City FC 2 | Draw | Heidelberg Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 51% |
| Market | 25% | 23% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Melbourne City FC 2 | Heidelberg Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 3.9 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne City FC 2 0–1–0 Heidelberg Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria | Heidelberg Utd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Melbourne City FC 2 |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | Hume City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne City FC 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | South Melbourne | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 28 |
| 8 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 9 | Dandenong City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | St Albans Saints | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 22 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 19 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 12 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Melbourne City FC 2 | Heidelberg Utd |
|---|---|---|
| St Albans Saints | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Oakleigh Cannons | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Dandenong City | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Dandenong Thunder | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Green Gully | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bentleigh Greens | 7-0 W | 2-0 W |
| South Melbourne | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Melbourne City FC 2 (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melbourne City FC 2
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
6-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
Heidelberg Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/06 | Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 20/06 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Bentleigh Greens Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
3-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melbourne City FC 2 vs Heidelberg Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Heidelberg Utd win (51%). Probabilities: Melbourne City FC 2 24%, draw 24%, Heidelberg Utd 51%.
How many goals are expected in Melbourne City FC 2 vs Heidelberg Utd?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Melbourne City FC 2 1.15 · Heidelberg Utd 1.76), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Melbourne City FC 2 vs Heidelberg Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.