Prediction: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Dalian Kewei
Expected goals: 1.83 (Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0.84 · Dalian Kewei 0.99). The model gives 29% home, 33% draw, 37% away. Under 2 goals (57%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Dalian Kewei arrives on a 6-3-1 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai won 0 and Dalian Kewei 0, with 1 draw.
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Draw | Dalian Kewei | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 35% | 36% |
| Market | 30% | 32% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Dalian Kewei | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.9 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0–1–0 Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Division 2 | Dalian Kewei | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Dalian Kewei |
|---|---|---|
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Changchun Xidu | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian Kewei (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Qingdao West Coast China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Changchun Yatai China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 26/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China FA Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Dalian Kewei?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dalian Kewei win (37%). Probabilities: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 29%, draw 33%, Dalian Kewei 37%.
How many goals are expected in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Dalian Kewei?
The model expects 1.83 goals (Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0.84 · Dalian Kewei 0.99), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Dalian Kewei?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.