Prediction: Ganzhou Ruishi vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
Expected goals: 2 (Ganzhou Ruishi 1.31 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0.7). The model gives 51% home, 30% draw, 19% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Ganzhou Ruishi sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves arrives on a 0-3-7 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 and Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0, with 3 draws.
| Ganzhou Ruishi | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 51% | 29% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ganzhou Ruishi (rating 1529 vs 1409).
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ganzhou Ruishi | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ganzhou Ruishi 0–3–0 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 China Division 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
| 27/06/25 China Division 2 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves |
| 12/04/25 China Division 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ganzhou Ruishi |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ganzhou Ruishi | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Hubei Istar | 4-4 D | 0-3 L |
| Wenzhou FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Xiamen Feilu | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Ganzhou Ruishi (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ganzhou Ruishi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 26/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/04 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ganzhou Ruishi win (51%). Probabilities: Ganzhou Ruishi 51%, draw 30%, Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 19%.
How many goals are expected in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?
The model expects 2 goals (Ganzhou Ruishi 1.31 · Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 0.7), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.