Football · China Division 2 · 18/07, 10:00
Prediction: Shanghai Segenda vs Shandong Taishan Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Shanghai Segenda0.94
Shandong Taishan Reserves1.18
1X2
Shanghai Segenda
Draw
Shandong Taishan Reserves
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Segenda
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Shandong Taishan Reserves
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Segenda
0–1
Shandong Taishan Reserves
(1 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan Reserves (rating 1457 vs 1548).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Segenda | Shandong Taishan Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.7 | 3.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Segenda 0–0–1 Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Segenda |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 12 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Segenda | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Kewei | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Beijing Institute | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan Reserves (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Port China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Yanbian Longding China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Segenda vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shandong Taishan Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 28%, draw 32%, Shandong Taishan Reserves 40%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Shanghai Segenda 0.94 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Segenda vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.