Prediction: Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Segenda
Expected goals: 2.04 (Dalian Kewei 1.52 · Shanghai Segenda 0.52). The model gives 62% home, 26% draw, 12% away. Under 2.25 goals (56%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Dalian Kewei is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Shanghai Segenda 2-3-5 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Dalian Kewei and 0 for Shanghai Segenda, with 1 draw.
| Dalian Kewei | Draw | Shanghai Segenda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 28% | 12% |
| Market | 62% | 25% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Kewei (rating 1547 vs 1451).
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Kewei | Shanghai Segenda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Kewei 0–1–0 Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 China Division 2 | Shanghai Segenda | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dalian Kewei |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian Kewei | Shanghai Segenda |
|---|---|---|
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Changchun Xidu | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian Kewei (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Kewei
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/06 | Liaoning Ironman China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 05/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 26/05 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Nantong Zhiyun China FA Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Port China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Yanbian Longding China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Segenda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Kewei win (62%). Probabilities: Dalian Kewei 62%, draw 26%, Shanghai Segenda 12%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Segenda?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Dalian Kewei 1.52 · Shanghai Segenda 0.52), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian Kewei vs Shanghai Segenda?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.