Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Expected goals: 2.2 (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.2 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1). The model gives 40% home, 31% draw, 30% away. Over 2 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Guangzhou Dandelion is 1-3-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Guangzhou Dandelion and 1 for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue.
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Draw | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 32% | 29% |
| Market | 40% | 30% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (rating 1444 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Guangzhou Dandelion: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 1.5 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 2–0–1 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
| 25/10/25 China Division 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 21/09/25 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guangzhou Dandelion | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
|---|---|---|
| Guangdong Mingtu | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Hubei Istar | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0-2 L | 0-7 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Wenzhou FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangzhou Dandelion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Wuxi Wugo China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-3 | 0-7 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Foshan Nanshi China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (40%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 40%, draw 31%, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 30%.
How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 1.2 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.