Prediction: Qingdao Red Lions vs Shandong Taishan Reserves
Expected goals: 1.86 (Qingdao Red Lions 0.81 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.05). The model gives 27% home, 33% draw, 40% away. Under 2 goals (56%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Qingdao Red Lions with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Shandong Taishan Reserves has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Qingdao Red Lions and 1 for Shandong Taishan Reserves.
| Qingdao Red Lions | Draw | Shandong Taishan Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 35% | 39% |
| Market | 28% | 31% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Qingdao Red Lions | Shandong Taishan Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.9 | 3.3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qingdao Red Lions 0–0–1 Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Qingdao Red Lions |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 10 | 31 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Kewei | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 22 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Qingdao Red Lions | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 9 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 11 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Qingdao Red Lions | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Shanghai Segenda | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dalian Kewei | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Changchun Xidu | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Qingdao Red Lions (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qingdao Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 14/06 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Nanjing City China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/04 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qingdao Red Lions vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shandong Taishan Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Qingdao Red Lions 27%, draw 33%, Shandong Taishan Reserves 40%.
How many goals are expected in Qingdao Red Lions vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
The model expects 1.86 goals (Qingdao Red Lions 0.81 · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.05), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Qingdao Red Lions vs Shandong Taishan Reserves?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.