Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Jiangxi Lushan
Expected goals: 2.2 (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.95 · Jiangxi Lushan 1.25). The model gives 27% home, 31% draw, 42% away. Over 2 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Jiangxi Lushan 7-0-3 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue and 0 for Jiangxi Lushan, with 2 draws.
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | Draw | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 30% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiangxi Lushan (rating 1492 vs 1537).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | Jiangxi Lushan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1–2–0 Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 China Division 2 | Jiangxi Lushan | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 07/06/25 China Division 2 | Jiangxi Lushan | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 30/03/25 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Jiangxi Lushan |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 16 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | Jiangxi Lushan |
|---|---|---|
| Wenzhou FC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0-7 L | 2-1 W |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Xiamen Feilu | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Jiangxi Lushan (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-3 | 0-7 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Foshan Nanshi China FA Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
Jiangxi Lushan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Henan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Dalian K'un City China FA Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Jiangxi Lushan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Jiangxi Lushan win (42%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 27%, draw 31%, Jiangxi Lushan 42%.
How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.95 · Jiangxi Lushan 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Jiangxi Lushan?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.