Football · China Division 2 · 18/07, 13:30
Prediction: Wenzhou FC vs Hubei Istar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Wenzhou FC1.23
Hubei Istar1.13
1X2
Wenzhou FC
Draw
Hubei Istar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wenzhou FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Hubei Istar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wenzhou FC
5–1–0
Hubei Istar
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wenzhou FC 1513 · Hubei Istar 1499
| Wenzhou FC | Draw | Hubei Istar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 31% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wenzhou FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wenzhou FC | Hubei Istar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wenzhou FC 5–1–0 Hubei Istar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wenzhou FC |
| 18/10/25 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Hubei Istar |
| 13/09/25 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wenzhou FC |
| 19/10/24 China Division 2 | Hubei Istar | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Wenzhou FC |
| 15/09/24 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Hubei Istar |
| 22/10/23 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 1-0 | Hubei Istar |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 27 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 20 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wenzhou FC | Hubei Istar |
|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 4-4 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Xiamen Feilu | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hubei Istar (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wenzhou FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Hubei Istar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China FA Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wenzhou FC vs Hubei Istar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wenzhou FC win (37%). Probabilities: Wenzhou FC 37%, draw 31%, Hubei Istar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Wenzhou FC vs Hubei Istar?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Wenzhou FC 1.23 · Hubei Istar 1.13), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Wenzhou FC vs Hubei Istar?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.