Football · Colombia Primera B · 28/09, 00:00

Prediction: Barranquilla FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Team pages: Barranquilla FC · Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Barranquilla FC1.26

Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.55

1X2

30% 28% 43%

Barranquilla FC Draw Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Barranquilla FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDLWWLLL

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLWWWW

Head-to-head

Barranquilla FC 1–4–1 Real Soacha Cundinamarca (6 last)

Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-2Barranquilla FC
Barranquilla FC1-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-0Barranquilla FC
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-2Barranquilla FC
Barranquilla FC1-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-1Barranquilla FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barranquilla FC 1457 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1531

	Barranquilla FC	Draw	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	29%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca (rating 1457 vs 1531).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barranquilla FC	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
23:18 +8’	3.10	3.20	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barranquilla FC 1–4–1 Real Soacha Cundinamarca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-2 HT 0-0	Barranquilla FC
01/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Barranquilla FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
17/04/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-0 HT 2-0	Barranquilla FC
01/10/24 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-2 HT 0-0	Barranquilla FC
27/04/24 Colombia Primera B	Barranquilla FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
06/08/23 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-1 HT 0-1	Barranquilla FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tigres FC	9	5	2	2	11	3	17
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	9	5	2	2	16	9	17
3	Independiente Valle del Cauca	9	5	2	2	10	3	17
4	Patriotas FC	9	5	2	2	16	12	17
5	Real Cartagena	9	4	2	3	16	10	14
6	Atletico Cali FC	9	4	2	3	12	12	14
7	Boca Juniors De Cali	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
8	Real San Andres	9	2	5	2	11	14	11
9	Bogota FC	9	3	2	4	6	9	11
10	Internacional FC de Palmira	9	3	2	4	7	11	11
11	Deportes Quindio	9	2	4	3	7	8	10
12	Orsomarso	8	2	3	3	4	6	9
13	Itagui Leones	9	2	3	4	7	15	9
14	Barranquilla FC	9	2	2	5	10	15	8
15	Envigado FC	8	1	4	3	6	8	7
16	Union Magdalena	8	2	1	5	5	9	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barranquilla FC	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Independiente Valle del Cauca	0-2 L	1-1 D
Patriotas FC	1-3 L	4-1 W
Union Magdalena	2-1 W	2-1 W
Boca Juniors De Cali	2-1 W	3-1 W
Internacional FC de Palmira	0-1 L	2-0 W
Orsomarso	0-1 L	0-2 L
Real Cartagena	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Soacha Cundinamarca (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barranquilla FC

LLDDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
16/09	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
11/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
06/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
02/09	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
25/08	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
20/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
03/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-2	2-2	13	5	D
27/07	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
22/05	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-2	2	3	L

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

DLDWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-1	2	7	W
13/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
04/09	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
29/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	7	5	W
25/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
21/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
06/08	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	6	6	W
02/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
27/07	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
18/04	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	1	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barranquilla FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Soacha Cundinamarca win (43%). Probabilities: Barranquilla FC 30%, draw 28%, Real Soacha Cundinamarca 43%.

How many goals are expected in Barranquilla FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Barranquilla FC 1.26 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1.55), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barranquilla FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.