Football · Colombia Primera B · 04/10, 03:20
Prediction: Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors De Cali
Team pages: Real Cartagena · Boca Juniors De Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Real Cartagena1.79
Boca Juniors De Cali0.81
1X2
Real Cartagena
Draw
Boca Juniors De Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Cartagena
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors De Cali
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Cartagena
2–4–0
Boca Juniors De Cali
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-1Real Cartagena
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Real Cartagena
- Real Cartagena1-1Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali2-2Real Cartagena
- Real Cartagena3-2Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-4Real Cartagena
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Cartagena 1510 · Boca Juniors De Cali 1517
| Real Cartagena | Draw | Boca Juniors De Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Cartagena: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Cartagena | Boca Juniors De Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Cartagena 2–4–0 Boca Juniors De Cali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Real Cartagena |
| 24/11/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Real Cartagena |
| 01/11/25 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 08/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Real Cartagena |
| 02/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Real Cartagena | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 21/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Real Cartagena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Cali FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 10 | Real San Andres | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | Itagui Leones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Cartagena | Boca Juniors De Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Tigres FC | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Itagui Leones | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Bogota FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Real San Andres | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Cartagena (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Cartagena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 22/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 30/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
4-1 | 6-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 07/08 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Boca Juniors De Cali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Cartagena win (60%). Probabilities: Real Cartagena 60%, draw 24%, Boca Juniors De Cali 16%.
How many goals are expected in Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Real Cartagena 1.79 · Boca Juniors De Cali 0.81), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Cartagena vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.