Football · Colombia Primera B · 06/10, 02:30
Prediction: Orsomarso vs Deportes Quindio
Team pages: Orsomarso · Deportes Quindio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Orsomarso1.06
Deportes Quindio0.99
1X2
Orsomarso
Draw
Deportes Quindio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Quindio
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso
1–3–2
Deportes Quindio
(6 last)
- Deportes Quindio2-2Orsomarso
- Orsomarso2-3Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio0-0Orsomarso
- Deportes Quindio0-2Orsomarso
- Orsomarso0-0Deportes Quindio
- Orsomarso0-1Deportes Quindio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso 1458 · Deportes Quindio 1503
| Orsomarso | Draw | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Quindio (rating 1458 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Deportes Quindio: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.5 | 0.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.2 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso 1–3–2 Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso |
| 20/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Deportes Quindio |
| 14/05/25 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 19/11/24 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 04/11/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Quindio |
| 22/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Quindio |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Cali FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 10 | Real San Andres | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | Itagui Leones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso | Deportes Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Real San Andres | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Patriotas FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Union Magdalena | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 28/09 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 09/09 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 04/08 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso vs Deportes Quindio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orsomarso win (36%). Probabilities: Orsomarso 36%, draw 31%, Deportes Quindio 32%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso vs Deportes Quindio?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Orsomarso 1.06 · Deportes Quindio 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso vs Deportes Quindio?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.