Football · Colombia Primera B · 03/10, 22:30
Prediction: Real San Andres vs Union Magdalena
Team pages: Real San Andres · Union Magdalena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Real San Andres0.93
Union Magdalena1.24
1X2
Real San Andres
Draw
Union Magdalena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Real San Andres
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Union Magdalena
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real San Andres
1–5
Union Magdalena
(6 last)
- Union Magdalena2-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres0-2Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena4-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres2-0Union Magdalena
- Real San Andres1-5Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena3-1Real San Andres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1488 · Union Magdalena 1466
| Real San Andres | Draw | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 29% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Magdalena: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real San Andres | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 1–0–5 Union Magdalena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 29/05/25 Colombia Cup | Real San Andres | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 01/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Real San Andres |
| 16/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 06/04/22 Colombia Cup | Real San Andres | 1-5 HT 0-4 | Union Magdalena |
| 30/03/22 Colombia Cup | Union Magdalena | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Real San Andres |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 17 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Cali FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 10 | Real San Andres | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Bogota FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | Envigado FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Itagui Leones | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real San Andres | Union Magdalena |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Orsomarso | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Quindio | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Barranquilla FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Patriotas FC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Real Cartagena | 1-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real San Andres (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real San Andres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
Union Magdalena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Union Magdalena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Magdalena win (43%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 27%, draw 30%, Union Magdalena 43%.
How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Union Magdalena?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Real San Andres 0.93 · Union Magdalena 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Union Magdalena?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.