Prediction: HJS (W) vs FC Lahti (W)
Expected goals: 4.08 (HJS (W) 2.73 · FC Lahti (W) 1.35). The model gives 66% home, 18% draw, 16% away. Over 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, HJS (W) sits at 5-0-5 (W-D-L), while FC Lahti (W) arrives on a 2-0-8 run.
| HJS (W) | Draw | FC Lahti (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| Market | 66% | 18% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJS (W) (rating 1505 vs 1450).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HJS (W) | FC Lahti (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2 / 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HJS (W) | FC Lahti (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| JyPK (W) | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| KTP (W) | 4-0 W | 6-2 W |
| FC Honka (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| HJK II (W) | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| ONS (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: HJS (W) (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HJS (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/04 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/10 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
FC Lahti (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/06 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/03 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | RoPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/09 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-3 | 1-9 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HJS (W) vs FC Lahti (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HJS (W) win (66%). Probabilities: HJS (W) 66%, draw 18%, FC Lahti (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in HJS (W) vs FC Lahti (W)?
The model expects 4.08 goals (HJS (W) 2.73 · FC Lahti (W) 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HJS (W) vs FC Lahti (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.