Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs HJK II (W)
Expected goals: 3.44 (PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.42 · HJK II (W) 2.03). The model gives 26% home, 23% draw, 51% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) with 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; HJK II (W) has piled up 6-0-4 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) won 0 and HJK II (W) 2.
| PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | Draw | HJK II (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 23% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK II (W) (rating 1490 vs 1534).
- H2H favours HJK II (W): 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | HJK II (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 0–0–2 HJK II (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/26 Finland Ykkonen Women | HJK II (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) |
| 24/06/25 Finland Ykkonen Women | HJK II (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) | HJK II (W) |
|---|---|---|
| KTP (W) | 3-2 W | 4-2 W |
| ONS (W) | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| HJS (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| JyPK (W) | 3-2 W | 5-1 W |
| EBK (W) | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| TPS (W) | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| FC Honka (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Lahti (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK II (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | HJK II (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/03 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
HJK II (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/06 | PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | FC Honka (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/06 | TPS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/06 | KTP (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | EBK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FC Lahti (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | HJS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | JyPK (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ONS (W) Finland Ykkonen Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs HJK II (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK II (W) win (51%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 26%, draw 23%, HJK II (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs HJK II (W)?
The model expects 3.44 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1.42 · HJK II (W) 2.03), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs HJK II (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.