Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 13/07, 17:30

Prediction: JyPK (W) vs FC Honka (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
JyPK (W)1.29
FC Honka (W)2.03
1X2
24% 22% 54%
JyPK (W) Draw FC Honka (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JyPK (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWLLLW
FC Honka (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWWLD
Head-to-head
JyPK (W) 0–1–5 FC Honka (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JyPK (W) 1488 · FC Honka (W) 1583
JyPK (W)DrawFC Honka (W)
Our model23%23%54%
Market24%22%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (W) (rating 1488 vs 1583).
  • H2H favours FC Honka (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JyPK (W)FC Honka (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 2.12 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.52.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.9 / 01.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · JyPK (W) 015 FC Honka (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/10/24
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
FC Honka (W)2-2
HT 2-1
JyPK (W)
03/08/24
Finland Cup Women
FC Honka (W)2-0
HT 1-0
JyPK (W)
23/07/24
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
JyPK (W)1-2
HT 1-0
FC Honka (W)
04/05/24
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
FC Honka (W)1-0
HT 1-0
JyPK (W)
20/07/21
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
FC Honka (W)2-0
HT 1-0
JyPK (W)
24/04/21
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
JyPK (W)0-1
HT 0-1
FC Honka (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJyPK (W)FC Honka (W)
TPS (W) 5-1 W 0-0 D
EBK (W) 0-3 L 2-2 D
KTP (W) 1-3 L 1-0 W
HJS (W) 1-2 L 1-0 W
ONS (W) 1-0 W 3-1 W
FC Lahti (W) 5-1 W 2-1 W
HJK II (W) 1-5 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 4 L 5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JyPK (W)

LWLWLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 5-1 30 W
27/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 10 L
13/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-3 32 L
06/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-2 42 L
27/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 21 W
23/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 2-3 51 L
17/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 5-1 62 W
10/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 1-5 40 L
11/04 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-1 111 W
28/03 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-2 60 L

FC Honka (W)

WWWWWDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 2-2 42 D
01/07 EBK (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 1-4 53 L
27/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 40 W
14/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-1 50 W
31/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-0 91 D
27/05 KTP (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-0 1-0 30 W
23/05 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 43 W
17/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-1 51 W
14/05 HPS II (W)
Finland Cup Women
3-0 5-0 90 W
06/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 4-0 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JyPK (W) vs FC Honka (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Honka (W) win (54%). Probabilities: JyPK (W) 24%, draw 22%, FC Honka (W) 54%.

How many goals are expected in JyPK (W) vs FC Honka (W)?

The model expects 3.33 goals (JyPK (W) 1.29 · FC Honka (W) 2.03), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JyPK (W) vs FC Honka (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.