Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 11/07, 13:00

Prediction: EBK (W) vs HJS (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
EBK (W)2.69
HJS (W)1.04
1X2
72% 17% 12%
EBK (W) Draw HJS (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
EBK (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWWWDL
HJS (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLWLWWLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK (W) 1553 · HJS (W) 1510
EBK (W)DrawHJS (W)
Our model71%17%12%
Market72%16%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (W) (rating 1553 vs 1510).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBK (W)HJS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.22 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.70.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.41.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 0.12.2 / 0.1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBK (W)HJS (W)
FC Honka (W) 2-2 D 0-1 L
JyPK (W) 3-0 W 2-1 W
ONS (W) 2-0 W 1-2 L
TPS (W) 0-2 L 2-3 L
HJK II (W) 4-0 W 3-2 W
KTP (W) 4-1 W 4-0 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 3-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK (W)

WWWLWWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 HPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-2 0-4 22 L
03/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
01/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 4-1 73 W
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
16/06 EPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 4-1 70 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W
05/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-2 44 L
31/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-0 35 W
23/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 4-1 55 W
17/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 3-1 20 W

HJS (W)

WWLWLWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 63 D
28/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-3 24 L
14/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 1-2 91 L
06/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-1 32 W
02/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-0 4-0 23 W
23/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 23 L
17/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 3-2 21 W
10/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-2 51 L
20/04 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 03 W
28/03 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 4-2 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK (W) vs HJS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EBK (W) win (72%). Probabilities: EBK (W) 72%, draw 17%, HJS (W) 12%.

How many goals are expected in EBK (W) vs HJS (W)?

The model expects 3.73 goals (EBK (W) 2.69 · HJS (W) 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK (W) vs HJS (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.