Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 17/07, 17:30

Prediction: FC Honka (W) vs KTP (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.56Total
FC Honka (W)2.78
KTP (W)0.78
1X2
82% 12% 6%
FC Honka (W) Draw KTP (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Honka (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWWLDL
KTP (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWLLL
Head-to-head
FC Honka (W) 3–1 KTP (W) (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Honka (W) 1558 · KTP (W) 1423
FC Honka (W)DrawKTP (W)
Our model78%15%7%
Market85%10%5%
Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Honka (W) (rating 1558 vs 1423).
  • H2H favours FC Honka (W): 3-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Honka (W)KTP (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.91.4 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.20.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.41.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 01.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Honka (W) 301 KTP (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/05/26
Finland Cup Women
KTP (W)0-1
HT 0-1
FC Honka (W)
07/04/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
KTP (W)0-3
HT 0-2
FC Honka (W)
05/07/25
Finland Ykkonen Women
FC Honka (W)0-1
HT 0-0
KTP (W)
08/04/23
Women’s Friendly
KTP (W)0-4FC Honka (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Honka (W)KTP (W)
JyPK (W) 0-1 L 3-1 W
EBK (W) 2-2 D 1-4 L
HJK II (W) 1-0 W 2-4 L
FC Lahti (W) 2-1 W 2-6 L
TPS (W) 0-0 D 2-1 W
HJS (W) 1-0 W 0-4 L
ONS (W) 3-1 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Honka (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Honka (W)

WWWWDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-1 62 L
03/07 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 2-2 42 D
01/07 EBK (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 1-4 53 L
27/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 40 W
14/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-1 50 W
31/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-0 91 D
27/05 KTP (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-0 1-0 30 W
23/05 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 43 W
17/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-1 51 W
14/05 HPS II (W)
Finland Cup Women
3-0 5-0 90 W

KTP (W)

WWLLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 22 L
04/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 2-3 23 L
25/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-6 11 L
13/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 3-1 92 W
10/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 2-4 62 L
02/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 0-4 13 L
27/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-1 0-1 40 L
23/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 1-4 55 L
17/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-1 42 W
14/05 JaPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 2-0 30 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Honka (W) vs KTP (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Honka (W) win (82%). Probabilities: FC Honka (W) 82%, draw 12%, KTP (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in FC Honka (W) vs KTP (W)?

The model expects 3.56 goals (FC Honka (W) 2.78 · KTP (W) 0.78), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Honka (W) vs KTP (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.