Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 12/07, 10:00

Prediction: FC Lahti (W) vs TPS (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
FC Lahti (W)1.95
TPS (W)1.76
1X2
42% 23% 35%
FC Lahti (W) Draw TPS (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Lahti (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
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TPS (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Lahti (W) 1460 · TPS (W) 1460
FC Lahti (W)DrawTPS (W)
Our model42%23%35%
Market42%23%35%
Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Lahti (W)TPS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 3.31.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 1.40.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.31 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 01.9 / 0.1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Lahti (W)TPS (W)
HJS (W) 2-2 D 3-2 W
KTP (W) 6-2 W 1-2 L
FC Honka (W) 1-2 L 0-0 D
ONS (W) 1-0 W 1-1 D
HJK II (W) 1-4 L 1-4 L
JyPK (W) 1-5 L 1-5 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lahti (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lahti (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/07 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 2-2 23 D
25/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 6-2 31 W
14/06 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-2 20 L
06/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-0 27 W
22/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-4 10 L
17/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 1-5 62 L
06/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 0-4 13 L
26/03 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 1-2 82 L
04/10 RoPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 0-3 62 L
24/09 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 1-9 20 L

TPS (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 1-5 40 L
28/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 3-2 34 W
24/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 1-4 21 L
05/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 2-0 54 W
31/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-0 31 D
23/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-1 21 D
17/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-2 22 L
09/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-3 41 L
20/04 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-1 53 L
04/04 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-3 23 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lahti (W) vs TPS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lahti (W) win (42%). Probabilities: FC Lahti (W) 42%, draw 23%, TPS (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lahti (W) vs TPS (W)?

The model expects 3.71 goals (FC Lahti (W) 1.95 · TPS (W) 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lahti (W) vs TPS (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.