Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 11/07, 12:00

Prediction: ONS (W) vs KTP (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
ONS (W)2.2
KTP (W)1.33
1X2
56% 22% 22%
ONS (W) Draw KTP (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ONS (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLWLDLLLWL
KTP (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
ONS (W) 0–2 KTP (W) (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ONS (W) 1466 · KTP (W) 1442
ONS (W)DrawKTP (W)
Our model56%22%22%
Market56%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours KTP (W): 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ONS (W)KTP (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.41.7 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.9 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.21.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 02.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · ONS (W) 002 KTP (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
KTP (W)3-2
HT 3-1
ONS (W)
24/05/25
Finland Ykkonen Women
ONS (W)0-1
HT 0-0
KTP (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentONS (W)KTP (W)
HJK II (W) 1-2 L 2-4 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 3-0 W 2-3 L
EBK (W) 0-2 L 1-4 L
FC Lahti (W) 0-1 L 2-6 L
JyPK (W) 0-1 L 3-1 W
TPS (W) 1-1 D 2-1 W
FC Honka (W) 1-3 L 0-1 L
HJS (W) 2-1 W 0-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: ONS (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ONS (W)

WLWLDLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-2 93 L
27/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 100 W
13/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-2 22 L
06/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 67 L
27/05 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-1 31 L
23/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-1 31 D
17/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-3 51 L
10/05 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-1 61 W
02/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 2-3 45 L
26/04 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 2-0 41 W

KTP (W)

WWWLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 2-3 23 L
25/06 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-6 11 L
13/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 3-1 92 W
10/06 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 2-4 62 L
02/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 0-4 13 L
27/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-1 0-1 40 L
23/05 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-3 1-4 55 L
17/05 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-1 42 W
14/05 JaPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 2-0 30 W
02/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 3-2 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ONS (W) vs KTP (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ONS (W) win (56%). Probabilities: ONS (W) 56%, draw 22%, KTP (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in ONS (W) vs KTP (W)?

The model expects 3.53 goals (ONS (W) 2.2 · KTP (W) 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ONS (W) vs KTP (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.