Football · USA USL Cup · 12/07, 01:30

Prediction: Rhode Island FC vs Brooklyn FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Rhode Island FC1.99
Brooklyn FC1
1X2
60% 23% 18%
Rhode Island FC Draw Brooklyn FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rhode Island FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLWLWWDL
Brooklyn FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDWDLW
Head-to-head
Rhode Island FC 1–0 Brooklyn FC (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rhode Island FC 1497 · Brooklyn FC 1491
Rhode Island FCDrawBrooklyn FC
Our model59%23%17%
Market60%22%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rhode Island FCBrooklyn FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.21.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.61 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.22.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhode Island FC 100 Brooklyn FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
USA USL Championship
Rhode Island FC4-1
HT 1-0
Brooklyn FC

Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 5

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Hartford Athletic 220 007
2 Brooklyn FC 321 006
3 Rhode Island FC 211 005
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 211 004
5 New York Cosmos 312 003
6 Westchester SC 202 002

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRhode Island FCBrooklyn FC
Loudoun United FC 4-1 W 0-1 L
Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 L 5-1 W
Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 D 0-2 L
Hartford Athletic 0-0 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rhode Island FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rhode Island FC

DLDLWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Championship
1-2 1-2 32 L
05/07 Orange County SC
USA USL Championship
0-0 1-1 105 D
14/06 Loudoun United FC
USA USL Championship
1-0 4-1 35 W
07/06 Westchester SC
USA USL Cup
2-0 3-0 60 W
31/05 Indy Eleven
USA USL Championship
0-0 0-1 64 L
24/05 Brooklyn FC
USA USL Championship
1-0 4-1 27 W
16/05 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL Cup
0-2 1-2 102 L
10/05 Tampa Bay Rowdies
USA USL Championship
0-1 1-1 37 D
03/05 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 1-3 33 L
26/04 Hartford Athletic
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-0 64 D

Brooklyn FC

WLLLLDWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USA USL Championship
0-0 2-0 46 W
21/06 Tampa Bay Rowdies
USA USL Championship
0-2 0-2 53 L
14/06 Louisville City FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-2 24 D
07/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL Cup
3-1 5-1 13 W
01/06 Sporting JAX
USA USL Championship
2-1 2-2 71 D
24/05 Rhode Island FC
USA USL Championship
0-1 1-4 37 L
17/05 Hartford Athletic
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-2 66 L
10/05 Loudoun United FC
USA USL Championship
0-1 0-1 52 L
03/05 Miami FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-3 54 L
25/04 New York Cosmos
USA USL Cup
3-0 3-0 58 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rhode Island FC vs Brooklyn FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhode Island FC win (60%). Probabilities: Rhode Island FC 60%, draw 23%, Brooklyn FC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Rhode Island FC vs Brooklyn FC?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Rhode Island FC 1.99 · Brooklyn FC 1), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rhode Island FC vs Brooklyn FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.