Prediction: Antelope Valley Alta vs Phoenix Rising FC
| Antelope Valley Alta | Draw | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antelope Valley Alta (rating 1551 vs 1465).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Antelope Valley Alta | Phoenix Rising FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 2.3 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Antelope Valley Alta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Antelope Valley Alta | Phoenix Rising FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| El Paso Locomotive FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Phoenix Rising FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antelope Valley Alta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Charlotte Independence USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 02/07 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/06 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Orange County SC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/05 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Phoenix Rising FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | New Mexico United USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Orange County SC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antelope Valley Alta vs Phoenix Rising FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Antelope Valley Alta win (41%). Probabilities: Antelope Valley Alta 41%, draw 26%, Phoenix Rising FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Antelope Valley Alta vs Phoenix Rising FC?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Antelope Valley Alta 1.5 · Phoenix Rising FC 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Antelope Valley Alta vs Phoenix Rising FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.