Football · USA USL Cup · 12/07, 02:30

Prediction: Corpus Christi FC vs One Knoxville SC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Corpus Christi FC1.27
One Knoxville SC1.48
1X2
33% 25% 42%
Corpus Christi FC Draw One Knoxville SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Corpus Christi FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWLWWDLW
One Knoxville SC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWLLDWDWWW
Head-to-head
Corpus Christi FC 0–2–0 One Knoxville SC (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corpus Christi FC 1491 · One Knoxville SC 1535
Corpus Christi FCDrawOne Knoxville SC
Our model31%28%41%
Market34%22%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours One Knoxville SC (rating 1491 vs 1535).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Corpus Christi FCOne Knoxville SC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.51.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.41.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.24.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corpus Christi FC 020 One Knoxville SC

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
USA USL League One
Corpus Christi FC2-2
HT 1-0
One Knoxville SC
25/03/26
USA USL League One
One Knoxville SC0-0
HT 0-0
Corpus Christi FC

Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 3

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 San Antonio FC 220 008
2 Birmingham Legion FC 110 006
3 One Knoxville SC 101 004
4 Tulsa 211 004
5 Corpus Christi FC 312 003
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 101 002

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corpus Christi FC

DDLWLWWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 23 W
01/07 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
1-2 1-2 45 L
25/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
0-0 0-0 55 D
21/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
2-0 4-1 26 W
14/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 114 W
10/06 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-2 0-3 55 L
04/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
0-1 3-2 68 W
30/05 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
0-2 0-3 34 L
24/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
1-0 2-2 38 D
21/05 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
0-0 1-1 38 D

One Knoxville SC

LWLLDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 AC Boise
USA USL League One
1-1 2-1 35 W
21/06 Spokane Velocity FC
USA USL League One
2-0 4-0 44 W
14/06 New York Cosmos
USA USL League One
2-0 3-1 54 W
11/06 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 34 D
30/05 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL League One
0-0 2-0 86 W
24/05 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
0-1 2-2 28 D
17/05 San Antonio FC
USA USL Cup
0-1 0-1 77 L
14/05 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
1-1 1-2 95 L
03/05 FC Naples
USA USL League One
1-0 3-0 24 W
30/04 Columbus Crew
USA US Open Cup
1-2 1-4 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corpus Christi FC vs One Knoxville SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an One Knoxville SC win (42%). Probabilities: Corpus Christi FC 33%, draw 25%, One Knoxville SC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Corpus Christi FC vs One Knoxville SC?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Corpus Christi FC 1.27 · One Knoxville SC 1.48), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Corpus Christi FC vs One Knoxville SC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.