Football · USA USL Cup · 12/07, 04:00

Prediction: Orange County SC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Orange County SC1.45
Colorado Switchbacks FC1.54
1X2
35% 25% 39%
Orange County SC Draw Colorado Switchbacks FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Orange County SC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLWLDWWDD
Colorado Switchbacks FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWWLWLW
Head-to-head
Orange County SC 4–2–0 Colorado Switchbacks FC (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orange County SC 1538 · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1506
Orange County SCDrawColorado Switchbacks FC
Our model35%27%39%
Market36%24%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Orange County SC: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Orange County SCColorado Switchbacks FC
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.91.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.72.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 05.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orange County SC 420 Colorado Switchbacks FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
USA USL Championship
Colorado Switchbacks FC2-2
HT 1-1
Orange County SC
22/03/26
USA USL Championship
Orange County SC1-0
HT 0-0
Colorado Switchbacks FC
17/08/25
USA USL Championship
Colorado Switchbacks FC0-1
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
25/05/25
USA USL Championship
Orange County SC3-1
HT 1-0
Colorado Switchbacks FC
11/11/24
USA USL Championship
Colorado Switchbacks FC1-1
HT 1-1
Orange County SC
10/10/24
USA USL Championship
Orange County SC2-0
HT 1-0
Colorado Switchbacks FC

Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 2

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Colorado Switchbacks FC 330 009
2 El Paso Locomotive FC 321 006
3 New Mexico United 321 006
4 Antelope Valley Alta 312 003
5 Phoenix Rising FC 312 003
6 Orange County SC 303 000

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOrange County SCColorado Switchbacks FC
Las Vegas Lights FC 3-2 W 0-2 L
New Mexico United 1-1 D 4-0 W
Oakland Roots 3-2 W 1-0 W
Phoenix Rising FC 1-2 L 3-1 W
Sacramento Republic 2-3 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Switchbacks FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orange County SC

LDLWLDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Hartford Athletic
USA USL Championship
2-0 2-2 43 D
05/07 Rhode Island FC
USA USL Championship
0-0 1-1 25 D
25/06 Miami FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 4-2 34 W
21/06 Las Vegas Lights FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 3-2 52 W
14/06 New Mexico United
USA USL Championship
1-1 1-1 41 D
07/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL Cup
1-1 1-2 44 L
24/05 Oakland Roots
USA USL Championship
1-1 3-2 33 W
17/05 Phoenix Rising FC
USA USL Cup
1-1 1-2 74 L
09/05 Colorado Switchbacks FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-2 06 D
03/05 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Championship
1-0 2-3 54 L

Colorado Switchbacks FC

DDWLWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Phoenix Rising FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 3-1 142 W
25/06 San Antonio FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 1-2 88 L
21/06 Tulsa
USA USL Championship
0-1 2-1 34 W
14/06 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Championship
0-0 0-1 48 L
07/06 El Paso Locomotive FC
USA USL Cup
1-1 2-1 26 W
31/05 Oakland Roots
USA USL Championship
1-0 1-0 80 W
24/05 Las Vegas Lights FC
USA USL Championship
0-1 0-2 66 L
17/05 New Mexico United
USA USL Cup
3-0 4-0 57 W
09/05 Orange County SC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-2 56 D
03/05 San Antonio FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 3-3 17 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orange County SC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Colorado Switchbacks FC win (39%). Probabilities: Orange County SC 35%, draw 25%, Colorado Switchbacks FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Orange County SC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

The model expects 3 goals (Orange County SC 1.45 · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.54), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Orange County SC vs Colorado Switchbacks FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.