Football · USA USL Cup · 12/07, 03:00

Prediction: San Antonio FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
San Antonio FC2.05
Chattanooga Red Wolves0.84
1X2
66% 19% 15%
San Antonio FC Draw Chattanooga Red Wolves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
San Antonio FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDWLWD
Chattanooga Red Wolves 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLWLDWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Antonio FC 1540 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1521
San Antonio FCDrawChattanooga Red Wolves
Our model64%22%13%
Market67%16%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Antonio FCChattanooga Red Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.31.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.32.8 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.1 / 0.43.9 / 0

Standings · USA USL Cup · USL Cup 2026, Group 3

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 San Antonio FC 220 008
2 Birmingham Legion FC 110 006
3 One Knoxville SC 101 004
4 Tulsa 211 004
5 Corpus Christi FC 312 003
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 101 002

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Antonio FCChattanooga Red Wolves
One Knoxville SC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Birmingham Legion FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Antonio FC

DDDWWDWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Monterey Bay FC
USA USL Championship
0-0 0-0 29 D
25/06 Colorado Switchbacks FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 2-1 28 W
14/06 Lexington SC
USA USL Championship
0-0 0-2 62 L
07/06 Tulsa
USA USL Cup
0-1 2-1 49 W
28/05 Sporting JAX
USA USL Championship
0-3 4-4 55 D
24/05 Sacramento Republic
USA USL Championship
2-0 2-1 09 W
17/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL Cup
1-0 1-0 77 W
10/05 Phoenix Rising FC
USA USL Championship
1-0 1-1 37 D
03/05 Colorado Switchbacks FC
USA USL Championship
1-1 3-3 67 D
26/04 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 0-0 82 D

Chattanooga Red Wolves

WDLWLDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
1-1 1-2 103 L
02/07 Westchester SC
USA USL League One
0-0 2-0 105 W
21/06 FC Naples
USA USL League One
0-0 1-0 44 W
14/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
1-0 2-1 82 W
11/06 One Knoxville SC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 94 D
31/05 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
2-2 2-3 87 L
28/05 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
2-0 5-0 76 W
24/05 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
0-0 0-2 52 L
17/05 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
0-0 1-1 35 D
09/05 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
2-1 4-1 81 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC win (66%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 66%, draw 19%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 15%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model expects 2.88 goals (San Antonio FC 2.05 · Chattanooga Red Wolves 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.