Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 · 11/07, 22:00

Prediction: Resende RJ vs Marica RJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Resende RJ1.29
Marica RJ1.05
1X2
41% 31% 29%
Resende RJ Draw Marica RJ
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Resende RJ 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWDWLL
Marica RJ 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWLDDWDW
Head-to-head
Resende RJ 2–1 Marica RJ (3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resende RJ 1552 · Marica RJ 1517
Resende RJDrawMarica RJ
Our model41%30%29%
Market41%31%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Resende RJ: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Resende RJMarica RJ
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.81.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.50.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.82.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.45.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Resende RJ 201 Marica RJ

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Resende RJ4-0
HT 3-0
Marica RJ
13/07/24
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Marica RJ1-0
HT 0-0
Resende RJ
26/07/23
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Resende RJ1-0
HT 0-0
Marica RJ

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Americano RJ 11812 18925
2 Marica RJ 11731 11724
3 Resende RJ 11542 16919
4 America RJ 11515 181416
5 Perolas Negras 11515 111516
6 Sao Goncalo 11425 111014
7 Bonsucesso FC 11425 101114
8 Olaria AC 11344 111113
9 Cabofriense 11335 121312
10 Araruama FC 11326 111511
11 Serrano 11254 101811
12 Audax Rio 11308 10179

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentResende RJMarica RJ
Americano RJ 1-2 L 1-1 D
Audax Rio 0-2 L 1-0 W
Serrano 0-0 D 1-1 D
Bonsucesso FC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Araruama FC 1-0 W 1-0 W
Olaria AC 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Marica RJ (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resende RJ

WWDWWWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Americano RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-2 1-2 105 L
27/06 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-2 0-2 812 L
24/06 SE Belford Roxo
Brazil Copa Rio
3-0 8-1 63 W
20/06 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 55 D
17/06 SE Belford Roxo
Brazil Copa Rio
2-0 3-1 52 W
13/06 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-0 27 W
06/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-0 45 W
30/05 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 1-1 25 D
28/05 America RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
2-0 3-0 23 W
16/05 Sao Goncalo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-1 411 W

Marica RJ

DWWWLDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Perolas Negras
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 2-0 54 W
27/06 Americano RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-1 45 D
20/06 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-0 75 W
14/06 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-1 28 D
10/06 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 35 D
07/06 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-3 86 L
03/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-0 19 W
30/05 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 94 W
27/05 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 2-1 92 W
24/05 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 98 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resende RJ vs Marica RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Resende RJ win (41%). Probabilities: Resende RJ 41%, draw 31%, Marica RJ 29%.

How many goals are expected in Resende RJ vs Marica RJ?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Resende RJ 1.29 · Marica RJ 1.05), with a 58% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Resende RJ vs Marica RJ?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.