Prediction: Marica RJ vs Perolas Negras
Expected goals: 2.27 (Marica RJ 1.56 · Perolas Negras 0.71). The model gives 57% home, 27% draw, 16% away. Over 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Marica RJ is 5-4-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Perolas Negras 6-0-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Marica RJ won 2 and Perolas Negras 1, with 3 draws.
| Marica RJ | Draw | Perolas Negras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 28% | 16% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Marica RJ: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marica RJ | Perolas Negras | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 6.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marica RJ 2–3–1 Perolas Negras
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/21 Brazil Copa Rio | Marica RJ | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Perolas Negras |
| 28/10/21 Brazil Copa Rio | Perolas Negras | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Marica RJ |
| 22/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Perolas Negras | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Marica RJ |
| 19/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Marica RJ | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Perolas Negras |
| 08/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Marica RJ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Perolas Negras |
| 21/07/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2 | Perolas Negras | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Marica RJ |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano RJ | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Marica RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Resende RJ | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Perolas Negras | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | America RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Olaria AC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Goncalo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Cabofriense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Bonsucesso FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Serrano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Araruama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marica RJ | Perolas Negras |
|---|---|---|
| Americano RJ | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Audax Rio | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Serrano | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Bonsucesso FC | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Araruama FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Olaria AC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| America RJ | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Marica RJ (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marica RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/06 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Perolas Negras
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 23/06 | Santa Cruz RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | Santa Cruz RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 13/05 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marica RJ vs Perolas Negras?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marica RJ win (57%). Probabilities: Marica RJ 57%, draw 27%, Perolas Negras 16%.
How many goals are expected in Marica RJ vs Perolas Negras?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Marica RJ 1.56 · Perolas Negras 0.71), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Marica RJ vs Perolas Negras?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.