Prediction: Olaria AC vs Bonsucesso FC
Expected goals: 2 (Olaria AC 1.16 · Bonsucesso FC 0.83). The model gives 43% home, 32% draw, 25% away. Over 1.75 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Olaria AC is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Bonsucesso FC 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Olaria AC and 0 for Bonsucesso FC, with 1 draw.
| Olaria AC | Draw | Bonsucesso FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Olaria AC: 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olaria AC | Bonsucesso FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.3 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olaria AC 2–1–0 Bonsucesso FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/20 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Bonsucesso FC | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Olaria AC |
| 07/09/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Bonsucesso FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Olaria AC |
| 23/05/18 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Olaria AC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bonsucesso FC |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano RJ | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Marica RJ | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Resende RJ | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Perolas Negras | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | America RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | Olaria AC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Goncalo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Cabofriense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Bonsucesso FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Serrano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 11 | Araruama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 12 | Audax Rio | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Olaria AC | Bonsucesso FC |
|---|---|---|
| Cabofriense | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| America RJ | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Sao Goncalo | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Resende RJ | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Marica RJ | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Perolas Negras | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Americano RJ | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Olaria AC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olaria AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Araruama FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/06 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Copa Rio |
2-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 20/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Copa Rio |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Bonsucesso FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | America RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Copa Rio |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olaria AC vs Bonsucesso FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Olaria AC win (43%). Probabilities: Olaria AC 43%, draw 32%, Bonsucesso FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Olaria AC vs Bonsucesso FC?
The model expects 2 goals (Olaria AC 1.16 · Bonsucesso FC 0.83), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olaria AC vs Bonsucesso FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.