Prediction: Resende RJ vs Americano RJ

Expected goals: 2.2 (Resende RJ 1.3 · Americano RJ 0.9). The model gives 44% home, 31% draw, 25% away. Over 1.75 goals (56%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Resende RJ is 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Americano RJ 7-2-1 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Resende RJ won 2 and Americano RJ 1, with 2 draws.

44%1
44% 31% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resende RJ 1556 · Americano RJ 1563
Resende RJDrawAmericano RJ
Our model44%31%25%
Market45%31%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.2Resende RJ 1.3 · Americano RJ 0.9
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 56%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Resende RJ: 2-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Resende RJAmericano RJ
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.81.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.40.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.83.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.54.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Resende RJ 221 Americano RJ

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/06/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Resende RJ0-1
HT 0-0
Americano RJ
19/05/24
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Resende RJ2-0
HT 1-0
Americano RJ
02/08/23
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
Resende RJ1-1
HT 0-1
Americano RJ
10/03/19
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Americano RJ1-1
HT 1-0
Resende RJ
13/01/19
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Resende RJ1-0
HT 1-0
Americano RJ

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Americano RJ 10712 16822
2 Marica RJ 10631 9721
3 Resende RJ 10541 15719
4 Perolas Negras 10514 111316
5 America RJ 10415 131413
6 Olaria AC 10343 111013
7 Sao Goncalo 10325 9911
8 Cabofriense 10325 111211
9 Bonsucesso FC 10325 91111
10 Serrano 10253 101311
11 Araruama FC 10316 101410
12 Audax Rio 10307 9159

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentResende RJAmericano RJ
Audax Rio 0-2 L 3-1 W
Serrano 0-0 D 2-1 W
Bonsucesso FC 1-0 W 2-0 W
Araruama FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Olaria AC 1-1 D 2-1 W
Cabofriense 2-2 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Americano RJ (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resende RJ

DWWDWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-2 0-2 812 L
24/06 SE Belford Roxo
Brazil Copa Rio
3-0 8-1 63 W
20/06 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 55 D
17/06 SE Belford Roxo
Brazil Copa Rio
2-0 3-1 52 W
13/06 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-0 27 W
06/06 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-0 45 W
30/05 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 1-1 25 D
28/05 America RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
2-0 3-0 23 W
16/05 Sao Goncalo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-1 411 W
09/05 Cabofriense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 2-2 107 D

Americano RJ

WLWWWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Marica RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-1 75 D
23/06 Macae Esporte FC
Brazil Copa Rio
1-1 2-1 66 W
20/06 Perolas Negras
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-0 37 W
17/06 Macae Esporte FC
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 142 D
14/06 Cabofriense
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-1 11 W
06/06 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
2-0 3-1 69 W
30/05 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 2-1 53 W
23/05 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 2-0 W
16/05 Araruama FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-1 1-2 L
09/05 Olaria AC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resende RJ vs Americano RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Resende RJ win (44%). Probabilities: Resende RJ 44%, draw 31%, Americano RJ 25%.

How many goals are expected in Resende RJ vs Americano RJ?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Resende RJ 1.3 · Americano RJ 0.9), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Resende RJ vs Americano RJ?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.