Football · South Korea Cup · 15/07, 12:00

Prediction: Chungbuk Cheongju vs Gyeongju HNP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Chungbuk Cheongju1.79

Gyeongju HNP1.04

1X2

54% 26% 21%

Chungbuk Cheongju Draw Gyeongju HNP

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chungbuk Cheongju 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDDDLWLD

Gyeongju HNP 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDDLDLWW

Head-to-head

Chungbuk Cheongju 1–2–3 Gyeongju HNP (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chungbuk Cheongju 1483 · Gyeongju HNP 1525

	Chungbuk Cheongju	Draw	Gyeongju HNP
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyeongju HNP (rating 1483 vs 1525).
H2H favours Gyeongju HNP: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chungbuk Cheongju	Gyeongju HNP
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	1.3 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chungbuk Cheongju 1–2–3 Gyeongju HNP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/09/22 South Korea K3 League	Chungbuk Cheongju	0-0 HT 0-0	Gyeongju HNP
14/05/22 South Korea K3 League	Gyeongju HNP	4-0 HT 2-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
06/11/21 South Korea K3 League	Chungbuk Cheongju	1-2	Gyeongju HNP
13/06/21 South Korea K3 League	Gyeongju HNP	1-2 HT 0-0	Chungbuk Cheongju
08/08/20 South Korea K3 League	Chungbuk Cheongju	1-1	Gyeongju HNP
15/05/19 South Korea Cup	Gyeongju HNP	2-0 HT 1-0	Chungbuk Cheongju

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chungbuk Cheongju

DDDDDDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
04/07	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-2	1-5	5	2	L
07/06	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
23/05	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
16/05	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
09/05	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
03/05	Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
26/04	Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
18/04	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
12/04	Cheonan City South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-2	4	3	D

Gyeongju HNP

WDWDDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
05/07	Seosan Pioneer South Korea Cup	3-0	3-0	4	2	W
28/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League	0-2	1-3	2	6	L
21/06	Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
13/06	Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	1-2	2-5	0	5	L
06/06	Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
30/05	Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League	1-0	2-2	1	2	D
27/05	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship	2-0	3-2	5	1	W
23/05	Yeoju South Korea K3 League	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
17/05	Mokpo City South Korea K3 League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Gyeongju HNP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chungbuk Cheongju win (54%). Probabilities: Chungbuk Cheongju 54%, draw 26%, Gyeongju HNP 21%.

How many goals are expected in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Gyeongju HNP?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Chungbuk Cheongju 1.79 · Gyeongju HNP 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chungbuk Cheongju vs Gyeongju HNP?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.